Sales Projected
To Reach 1.6 Billion By 2002
PORT WASHINGTON,
NEW YORK, March 8, 2000– Online toy sales catapulted from $45
million in 1998 to $425 million in 1999, according to a new e-Visory
Report released by leading marketing information provider The NPD
Group, Inc. and Media Metrix (NASDAQ: MMXI), the pioneer and leader
in Internet and Digital Media measurement. The report predicts
online toy sales will reach $1.6 billion by 2002 if last year’s
momentum continues.
According to NPD,
online toy sales accounted for 2% of all 1999 toy sales, which
totaled $23 billion. Dollar sales in the overall toy industry grew
8.6% over 1998, about a $2 billion increase for the year.
Despite well-publicized
Website outages and slowdowns during the peak December selling
season, NPD found consumer attitudes post-holiday to be positive,
boding well for toy e-tailers. NPD Online Research data indicate
that over 95% of consumers were satisfied, if not extremely happy,
with online toy shopping experiences during the 1999 holiday season
and would buy online in the future.
What’s more, toy
e-tailers appear to have overcome many of consumers’ barriers to
purchasing toys online. In a September 1999 NPD Online Research
survey, 55% of respondents said a reason for deciding not to
purchase toys online was an unwillingness to pay shipping costs. By
January 2000, that number had dropped 23 points, to 32% of
respondents.
Consumers’ desire
to see in person the intended purchase item was a reason not to
purchase toys online for 46% of respondents in September and for
only 29% in January. This shift may be attributed to marketers’
increased attention to providing comprehensive product information.
Online return
policies, which 25% of respondents cited as a reason for not buying
toys online in September, were cited by half that number of
consumers in January, a change which may be linked to an increase in
click-and-mortar retailers permitting returns to physical stores.
“We’ve seen
consumers’ confidence in e-commerce grow over the past year, much to
toy e-tailers’ good fortune. In 2000 and beyond, they’ll have to
continue to address technical issues and site maneuverability in
order to support all of the customers they attracted during last
year’s holiday shopping season. Consumers want speed and convenience.
Those will be the big concerns going forward,” said Michael Redmond
of NPD’s Toy Division.
The online toy
category had 13.7 million unique visitors to dedicated toy
merchandising sites in December 1999, up from 7.6 million in
December 1998. Media Metrix ranked etoys.com, toysrus.com and
kbkids.com the top three most frequently visited sites dedicated
only to toy merchandising in December 1999. Etoys.com’s 5.8 million
visitors, 59% of whom were engaged visitors, helped the site claim
the top spot based on December traffic. Media Metrix defines an
“engaged” shopper as one who views at least three minutes of content
within a site. Engaged visits are key precursors to online sales,
according to Media Metrix.
Of all sites
marketing toys online, not just those only dedicated to toy sales,
January 2000 NPD Online Research data show amazon.com, etoys and
toysrus.com garnering the largest share of purchases.
Top Ten Websites Dedicated to Toy
Merchandising Only:
December 1999
| |
Monthly Unique |
|
% Making Repeat
Visits |
| |
Visitors (000) |
% Engaged |
( > = 2 visits) |
| Total Toy Shopping Sites Only |
13,728 |
61 |
32 |
| etoys.com |
5,836 |
59 |
27 |
| toysrus.com |
4,425 |
61 |
27 |
| kbkids.com |
2,689 |
56 |
30 |
| smarterkids.com |
2,405 |
32 |
26 |
| toysmart.com |
1,805 |
42 |
15 |
| toytime.com |
1,665 |
61 |
32 |
| ty.com |
1,171 |
64 |
35 |
| gamestolearn.com |
1,124 |
14 |
23 |
| zanybrainy.com |
949 |
54 |
22 |
| wishbook.com |
807 |
52 |
9 |
Source: Media Metrix December 1999
Top Websites Selling Toys:
Share of Past Six Months’ Purchase Occasion,
Ranked by January 2000
| Websites |
January 2000 |
September 1999 |
| Selling Toys |
(% share) |
(% share) |
| amazon.com |
26 |
18 |
| etoys.com |
19 |
23 |
| toysrus.com |
12 |
9 |
| kbkids.com |
10 |
10 |
| smarterkids.com |
7 |
8 |
| toysmart.com |
2 |
2 |
| wal-mart.com |
2 |
3 |
| toytime.com |
2 |
1 |
| ebworld.com |
1 |
NA |
| lego.com |
1 |
1 |
Source: NPD Online Research
September 1999 and January 2000
The top online toy
merchandisers are poised for continued success, indicated by
consumers’ future intent to purchase toys through these sites. Of
January 2000 survey respondents who had purchased toys in the past
six months and intended to purchase toys online in the future, 26%
said they would choose amazon.com. Eighteen percent said they would
choose etoys.com, followed by toysrus.com with 11% and kbkids.com
with 7%. Wal-mart.com came in fifth with 6% share of future planned
purchases.
For more
information or to purchase the e-Visory Report, contact Michael
Redmond at (516) 625-2243, or by e-mail at
michael_redmond@npd.com.
Reports on e-commerce in beauty and consumer electronics are
forthcoming.
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